Market Sentiment Indicators: A Comparative Study of PCR and VIX Impact on the S&P 500

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School of Business | Bachelor's thesis
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Date

2023

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Mcode

Degree programme

Rahoitus

Language

en

Pages

17

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Abstract

This study explores the influence of non-economic factors, particularly investor sentiment, on asset price movements, with a focus on the S&P 500 index. Two key sentiment indicators are examined: the Put-Call Ratio (PCR) and the Volatility Index (VIX). Utilizing a random-walk regression model, the research aims to determine which of these indicators better explains the residual movements of the S&P 500 index. The findings reveal that the PCR demonstrates a stronger correlation and greater explanatory power compared to the VIX, as evidenced by higher adjusted R-squared values and more significant t-statistics.

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Thesis advisor

Kokkonen, Joni

Keywords

investor sentiment, put-call ratio, volatility index, sentiment

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