Value investing and monetary policy: Latest evidence from the US.

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School of Business | Bachelor's thesis

Date

2022

Major/Subject

Mcode

Degree programme

Rahoitus

Language

en

Pages

18+1

Series

Abstract

This paper’s key contribution is to answer whether value stocks can outperform other stocks and create excess returns for investors in an environment where the Federal Reserve exercises contrac-tionary monetary policy to increase interest rates in the US economy. To analyze this, I divide the recent decade into 5 different monetary policy periods during which the federal funds fate has been either rising, falling or staying same. I construct 3 different portfolios based on companies’ book-to-market equity ratios and compare the return performance of these portfolios during these dif-ferent monetary policy periods. The results suggest that value stocks can offer better returns but not without significant increases in portfolio’s risk profile.

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Thesis advisor

Shin, Sean

Keywords

value stocks, monetary policy, interest rates, united states

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