Target Price Forecast Rounding Practice by European Analysts

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School of Business | Bachelor's thesis
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Date

2018

Major/Subject

Mcode

Degree programme

Rahoitus

Language

en

Pages

27+6

Series

Abstract

This thesis studies analysts’ tendency to round their target price forecasts within a European context. I find that analysts have a common practice of rounding their forecasts, even to more coarse levels than common integers. Moreover, I find statistically significant, but partly mixed results between the relation of rounding and analyst or firm characteristics. Finally, I cannot confirm the hypothesis that rounding bias would increase analysts’ positive forecast bias.

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Thesis advisor

Ungeheuer, Michael

Keywords

analyst, target price, heaping, rounding, cognitive bias, behavioral bias, Europe, finance

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