Scenario Analysis and System Dynamics in New Emerging Technology Research: Case Mobile Peer-to-Peer Content Distribution

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Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
School of Electrical Engineering | A4 Artikkeli konferenssijulkaisussa
Date
2009
Major/Subject
Mcode
Degree programme
Language
en
Pages
60-65
Series
Abstract
This paper studies the use of scenario analysis andsystem dynamics in researching mobile peer-to-peer contentdistribution as a new emerging technology. Scenario analysisbounds the uncertainty related to the alternative futures of thetechnology by defining different scenarios. System dynamics isused to build a quantitative model based on the scenarios.During the research process four learning scenarios and aquantitative model depicting a dynamic mobile peer-to-peerfile sharing ecosystem are constructed. As a result we concludethat the usage of scenario analysis is favorable in researchingmobile peer-to-peer content distribution as a new emergingtechnology while the applicability of system dynamics can bequestioned.
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Keywords
scenario analysis, system dynamics, mobile peer-to-peer, content distribution
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Citation
Karikoski, Juuso & Heikkinen, Mikko & Hämmäinen, Heikki. 2009. Scenario Analysis and System Dynamics in New Emerging Technology Research: Case Mobile Peer-to-Peer Content Distribution. 2009 First International Conference on Advances in P2P Systems. P. 60-65. ISBN 978-1-4244-5084-8 (electronic). DOI: 10.1109/AP2PS.2009.18.