Mapping suitability for DRT services in the Oslo metropolitan area

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School of Engineering | Master's thesis

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Mcode

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en

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131

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Abstract

As urban regions continue to evolve, and concerns around liveability, equity, and sustainability become increasingly central to policy and planning, the role of the mobility system in advancing these objectives has gained renewed importance. Shared and public transport (PT) are recognized as essential tools for reducing car dependency, lowering emissions, and ensuring equitable access to opportunities. However, conventional PT systems often struggle to attract new users, as they lack the flexibility, convenience, and responsiveness that many travellers now expect. This has created an urgent need to rethink how PT is designed and delivered. This thesis investigates Demand-Responsive Transport’s (DRT’s) potential in the Oslo metropolitan area, addressing the critical but underexplored question of where DRT should be implemented. A spatially explicit, GIS-based multi-criteria analysis (MCA) was developed, incorporating twelve criteria across socio-economic factors, land-use characteristics, and PT performance. To ensure relevance, the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) was used to weight criteria based on input from experts. The results reveal a distinct spatial pattern: peripheral and semi-rural municipalities, particularly Hurdal, Aurskog-Høland, and Eidsvoll, consistently emerged as the most suitable areas for DRT, while Oslo’s urban core was least suitable due to strong PT coverage. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of these findings, reinforcing the validity of the prioritisation. By moving beyond purely technological perspectives, the study advances a socio-scientific approach to DRT planning, offering a transparent and transferable framework for data-driven decision-making. The findings provide Ruter, the regional PT authority, with strategic insights for integrating DRT into the mobility system and offer lessons for other regions seeking to improve accessibility, equity, and sustainability in underserved areas.

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Supervisor

Mladenovic, Milos

Thesis advisor

Caiati, Valeria
Urzainqui, Pablo

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