Order imbalance and stock returns: Evidence from the Finnish stock market

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School of Business | Bachelor's thesis

Date

2022

Major/Subject

Mcode

Degree programme

Rahoitus

Language

en

Pages

27+5

Series

Abstract

In financial markets, order imbalance refers to whether there is excess buy or sell-initiated orders in a trading period. This thesis studies the effects of daily order imbalance on both contemporaneous and future stock returns in the cross-section of Finnish stocks in the years 2010-2013. Contrary to most previous research regarding order imbalance, I use fixed-effects panel regressions to control for unobservable effects. In my main analysis, the results confirm the positive relationship between current order imbalance and stock returns. In contrast to previous literature, when I do not control for current order imbalance in my regression analysis, my results regarding return predictability are less confirmatory. In addition, I also examine the relationship between order imbalance and asymmetric information.

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Thesis advisor

Lof, Matthijs

Keywords

Order imbalance, Panel regression, Stock returns, Asymmetric information

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