Should monetary policy respond to stock prices? - Perspectives from behavioral macroeconomics

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Volume Title

School of Business | Master's thesis

Date

2023

Major/Subject

Mcode

Degree programme

Economics

Language

en

Pages

70

Series

Abstract

This paper is a literature review aiming to answer whether monetary policy should respond to changes in stock prices in addition to inflation and output. The stock market is an integral part of the economy, as it can produce and accelerate shocks that affect output and inflation. Economists haven’t reached a clear consensus on whether responding to stock price movements with monetary policy would limit or increase macroeconomic instability. There are also differing views concerning equilibrium conditions in models that include explicit stock price responses. My method is to compare the views of standard new Keynesian macroeconomics and behavioral macroeconomics. The former has been mostly critical of stock price responses, whereas the latter has provided support to the idea. The approaches differ in that new Keynesian economics presupposes rational expectations, while behavioral economics assumes ‘bounded rationality’. I find that the latter assumption is more realistic, and therefore monetary policy should respond to stock prices up to some extent. However, stable inflation should remain the main objective for monetary policy.

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Thesis advisor

Honkapohja, Seppo

Keywords

monetary policy, stock market, behavioral macroeconomics, learning

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