Local dimension reduction of summary statistics for likelihood-free inference

dc.contributorAalto-yliopistofi
dc.contributorAalto Universityen
dc.contributor.authorSiren, Jukkaen_US
dc.contributor.authorKaski, Samuelen_US
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Computer Scienceen
dc.contributor.groupauthorProfessorship Kaski Samuelen
dc.contributor.groupauthorFinnish Center for Artificial Intelligence, FCAIen
dc.contributor.groupauthorProbabilistic Machine Learningen
dc.contributor.groupauthorHelsinki Institute for Information Technology (HIIT)en
dc.contributor.groupauthorCentre of Excellence in Computational Inference, COINen
dc.date.accessioned2019-11-07T12:09:19Z
dc.date.available2019-11-07T12:09:19Z
dc.date.issued2019-10-04en_US
dc.description.abstractApproximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and other likelihood-free inference methods have gained popularity in the last decade, as they allow rigorous statistical inference for complex models without analytically tractable likelihood functions. A key component for accurate inference with ABC is the choice of summary statistics, which summarize the information in the data, but at the same time should be low-dimensional for efficiency. Several dimension reduction techniques have been introduced to automatically construct informative and low-dimensional summaries from a possibly large pool of candidate summaries. Projection-based methods, which are based on learning simple functional relationships from the summaries to parameters, are widely used and usually perform well, but might fail when the assumptions behind the transformation are not satisfied. We introduce a localization strategy for any projection-based dimension reduction method, in which the transformation is estimated in the neighborhood of the observed data instead of the whole space. Localization strategies have been suggested before, but the performance of the transformed summaries outside the local neighborhood has not been guaranteed. In our localization approach the transformation is validated and optimized over validation datasets, ensuring reliable performance. We demonstrate the improvement in the estimation accuracy for localized versions of linear regression and partial least squares, for three different models of varying complexity.en
dc.description.versionPeer revieweden
dc.format.extent12
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen_US
dc.identifier.citationSiren, J & Kaski, S 2019, ' Local dimension reduction of summary statistics for likelihood-free inference ', STATISTICS AND COMPUTING . https://doi.org/10.1007/s11222-019-09905-wen
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s11222-019-09905-wen_US
dc.identifier.issn0960-3174
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: eb1d33ec-9e63-4baf-8ab3-c1579092cf90en_US
dc.identifier.otherPURE ITEMURL: https://research.aalto.fi/en/publications/eb1d33ec-9e63-4baf-8ab3-c1579092cf90en_US
dc.identifier.otherPURE FILEURL: https://research.aalto.fi/files/38164920/Sir_n_Kaski2019_Article_LocalDimensionReductionOfSumma_1.pdfen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://aaltodoc.aalto.fi/handle/123456789/41181
dc.identifier.urnURN:NBN:fi:aalto-201911076186
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherSPRINGER
dc.relation.ispartofseriesSTATISTICS AND COMPUTINGen
dc.rightsopenAccessen
dc.subject.keywordApproximate Bayesian computationen_US
dc.subject.keywordDimension reductionen_US
dc.subject.keywordLikelihood-free inferenceen_US
dc.subject.keywordSummary statisticsen_US
dc.subject.keywordAPPROXIMATE BAYESIAN COMPUTATIONen_US
dc.subject.keywordSELECTIONen_US
dc.titleLocal dimension reduction of summary statistics for likelihood-free inferenceen
dc.typeA1 Alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessäfi
dc.type.versionpublishedVersion
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