Urban short-term traffic speed prediction with complicated information fusion on accidents

dc.contributorAalto-yliopistofi
dc.contributorAalto Universityen
dc.contributor.authorXu, Xingen_US
dc.contributor.authorHu, Xianqien_US
dc.contributor.authorZhao, Yunen_US
dc.contributor.authorLü, Xiaoshuen_US
dc.contributor.authorAapaoja, Akien_US
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Civil Engineeringen
dc.contributor.groupauthorPerformance in Building Design and Constructionen
dc.contributor.organizationZhejiang University of Science and Technologyen_US
dc.contributor.organizationSolita Plc.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2023-05-08T04:30:41Z
dc.date.available2023-05-08T04:30:41Z
dc.date.embargoinfo:eu-repo/date/embargoEnd/2025-03-28en_US
dc.date.issued2023-08-15en_US
dc.descriptionFunding Information: This work was supported by National Key Research and Development Program of China ( 2019YFE0126100 ); National Natural Science Foundation of China ( 61605173 ) and ( 61403346 ). Publisher Copyright: © 2023
dc.description.abstractOptimizing the traffic flow prediction system is crucial in developing intelligent transportation since it increases the road network's capacity. The system's overall prediction accuracy will be increased by taking into account the relationship between the temporal and spatial properties of the road network and different external elements affecting the traffic situation. The traffic state, which is still a largely unexplored area, is impacted by the complicated interaction between accident information and the spatiotemporal properties of the route. This paper proposes an Accident Information Graph Fusion Attention Convolutional Network(AI-GFACN). Firstly, a highly correlated global road network is created using a global spatial feature point-edge swapping method, a D–D algorithm fusing Dijkstra, and Depth-First Search, which resolves the issue where the spatial features of accident sections are challenging to capture the diffusion effects caused by spatial features of nearby and further sections. Following the data's incorporation, it is suggested to combine the Spatio-temporal features of accident information and embed them in the road network. In addition, an attention mechanism is introduced, effectively addressing the difficulty in capturing the Spatio-temporal features of accident information within the road network. By integrating and categorizing the regionally distributed and temporally sustained congestion effects of various categories of accidents concerning previous research on accident information, this paper enhances the semantic expressiveness of accident information within the road network. Ablation experiments confirm the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method, and it is applied to the dataset of Hangzhou West Lake District (including accident information), which increases short-term traffic speed prediction accuracy by 0.2% overall.en
dc.description.versionPeer revieweden
dc.format.extent14
dc.identifier.citationXu, X, Hu, X, Zhao, Y, Lü, X & Aapaoja, A 2023, ' Urban short-term traffic speed prediction with complicated information fusion on accidents ', Expert Systems with Applications, vol. 224, 119887 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119887en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.eswa.2023.119887en_US
dc.identifier.issn0957-4174
dc.identifier.issn1873-6793
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: 6d169a3c-d4e1-43e4-a2d6-82b3b4eb1b0aen_US
dc.identifier.otherPURE ITEMURL: https://research.aalto.fi/en/publications/6d169a3c-d4e1-43e4-a2d6-82b3b4eb1b0aen_US
dc.identifier.otherPURE LINK: http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85151813378&partnerID=8YFLogxKen_US
dc.identifier.otherPURE LINK: https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi-fe2023041837242en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://aaltodoc.aalto.fi/handle/123456789/120640
dc.identifier.urnURN:NBN:fi:aalto-202305082982
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevier Ltd
dc.relation.ispartofseriesEXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONSen
dc.relation.ispartofseriesVolume 224en
dc.rightsembargoedAccessen
dc.subject.keywordAttention mechanismen_US
dc.subject.keywordMulti-graph fusionen_US
dc.subject.keywordNode embeddingsen_US
dc.subject.keywordSpatiotemporal dependencyen_US
dc.subject.keywordTraffic predictionen_US
dc.subject.keywordTrajectory planningen_US
dc.titleUrban short-term traffic speed prediction with complicated information fusion on accidentsen
dc.typeA2 Katsausartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessäfi
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