Reimagining alternative future development trajectories of shrinking Finnish cities

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Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
A1 Alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessä
Date
2024
Major/Subject
Mcode
Degree programme
Language
en
Pages
18
Series
INTERNATIONAL PLANNING STUDIES, Volume 29, issue 1, pp. 1-18
Abstract
Shrinking cities are seen as places with poor development prospects, as places that should adjust to given future realities of shrinkage. However, because the future is open to many alternative possibilities, shrinking cities also have a variety of alternative futures to which earlier research has paid less attention. This study aims to identify and analyse the alternative future development trajectories of shrinking cities. In this study, the futures research method called futures wheel is utilized to analyse possible future consequences of 24 different forces of change that can steer the future development of shrinking cities. By combining the futures wheel method with qualitative data from eight shrinking Finnish cities, we can reveal possible future development paths that may result from the forces. Overall, our results show that shrinking cities have various alternative future development trajectories leading to various outcomes. Some of the forces may intensify the current negative effects caused by urban shrinkage. By contrast, other forces can radically change future development.
Description
Publisher Copyright: © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group.
Keywords
alternative futures, futures studies, futures wheel, Shrinking cities
Other note
Citation
Kiviaho, A & Toivonen, S 2024, ' Reimagining alternative future development trajectories of shrinking Finnish cities ', INTERNATIONAL PLANNING STUDIES, vol. 29, no. 1, pp. 1-18 . https://doi.org/10.1080/13563475.2023.2259109