Out-of-sample testing on portfolio performance in the Asian equity market: Can optimized portfolio outperformed simpler strategy?
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School of Business |
Bachelor's thesis
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Date
2018
Department
Major/Subject
Mcode
Degree programme
(Mikkeli) Bachelor’s Program in International Business
Language
en
Pages
44 + 30
Series
Abstract
Objectives The main objectives of this study were to examine the performance of different asset allocation strategy in the Asian market by using out-of-sample testing method. The secondary objective is to determine whether optimized portfolios outperformed other portfolios with simpler strategy such as equally-weighted portfolio (EWP) and value-weighted market portfolio (VWMP). Summary This study collected market return, return of assets formed on size, book-to-market and momentum from 1991 to 2018. Optimized portfolios will be formed based on these return, and will be test against the EWP in the period from 2011 to 2018 and few more sub periods. The findings were analyzed by using t-test, f-test, Jobson and Korkie test, and capital accumulation. Conclusions Overall, there is no statistical evidence to conclude that optimized portfolios performed better than the EWP, and the other around, there is no statistical evidence to conclude that the EWP outperformed optimized portfolio. This result is mostly due to the estimation error when constructing optimized portfolio. However, the minimum variance portfolio that shrinks the covariance matrix and allows short, in general, delivers better performance in terms of risk-adjusted return. From a practitioner viewpoint, therefore, one should choose this strategy for asset allocation.Description
Thesis advisor
Stepanov, RomanKeywords
portfolio theory, minimum variance portfolio, out-of-sample testing, equally weighted portfolio