Expert Judgment and Uncertainty in Sociotechnical Systems Analysis
Loading...
Access rights
openAccess
acceptedVersion
URL
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
A3 Kirjan tai muun kokoomateoksen osa
This publication is imported from Aalto University research portal.
View publication in the Research portal (opens in new window)
View/Open full text file from the Research portal (opens in new window)
View publication in the Research portal (opens in new window)
View/Open full text file from the Research portal (opens in new window)
Date
Major/Subject
Mcode
Degree programme
Language
en
Pages
44
Series
Studies in Systems, Decision and Control ; Volume 541
Abstract
The chapter navigates the complicated landscape of incorporating expert insights within the framework of sociotechnical systems. It talks about the pivotal role of expert judgment in unravelling the complexities inherent in these systems and addresses the challenges posed by uncertainties. It also provides an overview of the multifaceted methodologies employed in integrating expert knowledge, encompassing structured expert elicitation techniques, uncertainty quantification models, and the collaborative dynamics of expert panels. Furthermore, it explores the mathematical foundations of Bayesian approaches and fuzzy logic applications, elucidating how these methodologies contribute to a probabilistic assessment and representation of uncertainties. The chapter underscores the importance of addressing challenges such as identifying sources of uncertainty, ethical considerations, and the need for continuous learning in sociotechnical systems analysis. Through a comprehensive exploration of methodologies, real-world applications, and concerns, this chapter aims to contribute to the evolving landscape of expertise in sociotechnical systems, offering insights and implications for both research and practical applications.Description
Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024.
Other note
Citation
Zarei, E, Yazdi, M, Moradi, R & BahooToroody, A 2024, Expert Judgment and Uncertainty in Sociotechnical Systems Analysis. in E Zarei (ed.), Safety causation analysis in sociotechnical systems : advanced models and techniques. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol. 541, Springer, pp. 487-530. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-62470-4_18