A framework for characterising and evaluating the effectiveness of environmental modelling

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A1 Alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessä

Date

2019-08-01

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en

Pages

16

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Environmental Modelling and Software, Volume 118, pp. 83-98

Abstract

Environmental modelling is transitioning from the traditional paradigm that focuses on the model and its quantitative performance to a more holistic paradigm that recognises successful model-based outcomes are closely tied to undertaking modelling as a social process, not just as a technical procedure. This paper redefines evaluation as a multi-dimensional and multi-perspective concept, and proposes a more complete framework for identifying and measuring the effectiveness of modelling that serves the new paradigm. Under this framework, evaluation considers a broader set of success criteria, and emphasises the importance of contextual factors in determining the relevance and outcome of the criteria. These evaluation criteria are grouped into eight categories: project efficiency, model accessibility, credibility, saliency, legitimacy, satisfaction, application, and impact. Evaluation should be part of an iterative and adaptive process that attempts to improve model-based outcomes and foster pathways to better futures.

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Keywords

model evaluation, model assessment, model performance

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Citation

Hamilton, S H, Fu, B, Guillaume, J, Badham, J, ElSawah, S, Gober, P, Hunt, R J, Iwanaga, T, Jakeman, A J, Ames, D P, Curtis, A, Hill, M C, Pierce, S A & Zare, F 2019, ' A framework for characterising and evaluating the effectiveness of environmental modelling ', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 118, pp. 83-98 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.04.008