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Escaping path dependence : essays on foresight and environmental management

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dc.contributor Aalto-yliopisto fi
dc.contributor Aalto University en
dc.contributor.author Könnölä, Totti
dc.date.accessioned 2012-02-17T07:44:50Z
dc.date.available 2012-02-17T07:44:50Z
dc.date.issued 2006-05-26
dc.identifier.isbn 951-22-8209-7
dc.identifier.issn 0782-2030
dc.identifier.uri https://aaltodoc.aalto.fi/handle/123456789/2709
dc.description.abstract The dissertation examines linkages between foresight, innovation and environmental management and policy to escape undesirable path dependencies at the different levels of innovation systems, especially with the means of foresight. The dissertation is characterized as action research that applies literature reviews, semi-structured interviews, direct observations, Internet-based group support systems, decision analysis, trend analysis and computer assisted workshops within case studies and empirically grounded theory-building. The dissertation consists of six articles and the summary. The first article deals with responsiveness in the management of foresight activities. The second article studies possible ways to escape techno-institutional path dependencies by combining methods used in foresight activities and drafting environmental voluntary agreements. The third article applies this approach to the analysis of a hydrogen energy foresight. The fourth article examines how environmental management systems may strengthen path dependencies. The fifth article develops and applies a new foresight method RPM Screening, which is also applied in the sixth article in connection with a European coordination tool. The implications of the mechanisms of path dependence on foresight objectives are identified as follows: (i) improved systems understanding calls for attention to continuous and discontinuous changes, which can be facilitated by diversity considerations, (ii) enhanced networking requires not only strengthening existing networks but also restructuring or even destruction of possible lock-in conditions by a redefinition of stakeholder roles and (iii) strengthened innovation activities necessitate fostering prospective innovation ideas, rivaling coalitions and the development of new technological and institutional arrangements. The results of this dissertation suggest extending the locus of foresight processes closer to decision-making and conducting them in connection with other coordination-oriented policy tools to address also institutional arrangements for discontinuous systemic changes. Whereas the dissertation identifies and responds to these challenges by developing responsive and modular foresight methods, further policy experimentation is recommended to support policy learning and the collection of further evidence for the findings. en
dc.format.extent 18, [111]
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso en en
dc.publisher Helsinki University of Technology en
dc.publisher Teknillinen korkeakoulu fi
dc.relation.ispartofseries Research reports / Helsinki University of Technology, Systems Analysis Laboratory. A en
dc.relation.ispartofseries 96 en
dc.relation.haspart Salo, A., Könnölä, T., and Hjelt, M., (2004) Responsiveness in Foresight Management: Reflections from the Finnish Food and Drink Industry, International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy 1 (1-2), 70-88. [article1.pdf] © 2004 Inderscience Enterprises. By permission.
dc.relation.haspart Könnölä, T., Unruh, G. C., and Carrillo-Hermosilla, J., (2006) Prospective Voluntary Agreements for Escaping Techno-Institutional Lock-in, Ecological Economics 57, 239-252. [article2.pdf] © 2006 Elsevier Science. By permission.
dc.relation.haspart Könnölä, T., Unruh, G. C., and Carrillo-Hermosilla, J., Toward Prospective Voluntary Agreements: Reflections from a Hydrogen Foresight Project, Journal of Cleaner Production, in press. [article3.pdf] © 2006 Elsevier Science. By permission.
dc.relation.haspart Könnölä, T. and Unruh, G. C., Really Changing the Course: the Limitations of Environmental Management Systems for Innovation, Business Strategy and the Environment, in press. [article4.pdf] © 2006 John Wiley & Sons. By permission.
dc.relation.haspart Könnölä, T., Brummer, V., and Salo, A., (2006) Diversity in Foresight: Insights from the Fostering of Innovation Ideas, Helsinki University of Technology, Systems Analysis Laboratory, Research Report E19. [article5.pdf] © 2006 by authors.
dc.relation.haspart Könnölä, T., Salo, A., and Brummer, V., Foresight for European Coordination: Developing National Priorities for the Forest-Based Sector Technology Platform, International Journal of Technology Management, special issue on technology foresight, in press. [article6.pdf] © 2006 by authors and © 2006 Inderscience Enterprises. By permission.
dc.subject.other Economics en
dc.title Escaping path dependence : essays on foresight and environmental management en
dc.type G5 Artikkeliväitöskirja fi
dc.description.version reviewed en
dc.contributor.department Department of Engineering Physics and Mathematics en
dc.contributor.department Teknillisen fysiikan ja matematiikan osasto fi
dc.subject.keyword foresight en
dc.subject.keyword environmental management en
dc.subject.keyword group decision-making en
dc.subject.keyword innovation policy en
dc.subject.keyword path dependence en
dc.identifier.urn urn:nbn:fi:tkk-006962
dc.type.dcmitype text en
dc.type.ontasot Väitöskirja (artikkeli) fi
dc.type.ontasot Doctoral dissertation (article-based) en
dc.contributor.lab Systems Analysis Laboratory en
dc.contributor.lab Systeemianalyysin laboratorio fi

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