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A probabilistic model estimating oil spill clean-up costs a case study for the Gulf of Finland.

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dc.contributor Aalto-yliopisto fi
dc.contributor Aalto University en
dc.contributor.author Montewka, Jakub
dc.contributor.author Weckström, Mia
dc.contributor.author Kujala, Pentti
dc.date.accessioned 2017-05-11T07:31:38Z
dc.date.available 2017-05-11T07:31:38Z
dc.date.issued 2013
dc.identifier.citation Montewka , J , Weckström , M & Kujala , P 2013 , ' A probabilistic model estimating oil spill clean-up costs a case study for the Gulf of Finland. ' , Marine Pollution Bulletin , vol. 76 , no. 1-2 , pp. 61-71 . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2013.09.031 en
dc.identifier.issn 0025-326X
dc.identifier.other PURE UUID: 5fe64efd-b470-4177-b72f-fc36dae2673f
dc.identifier.other PURE ITEMURL: https://research.aalto.fi/en/publications/a-probabilistic-model-estimating-oil-spill-cleanup-costs-a-case-study-for-the-gulf-of-finland(5fe64efd-b470-4177-b72f-fc36dae2673f).html
dc.identifier.other PURE LINK: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0025326X13005821
dc.identifier.other PURE FILEURL: https://research.aalto.fi/files/11702597/1_s2.0_S0025326X13005821_main.pdf
dc.identifier.uri https://aaltodoc.aalto.fi/handle/123456789/25543
dc.description VK: T20404
dc.description.abstract Existing models estimating oil spill costs at sea are based on data from the past, and they usually lack a systematic approach. This make them passive, and limits their ability to forecast the effect of the changes in the oil combating fleet or location of a spill on the oil spill costs. In this paper we make an attempt towards the development of a probabilistic and systematic model estimating the costs of clean-up operations for the Gulf of Finland. For this purpose we utilize expert knowledge along with the available data and information from literature. Then, the obtained information is combined into a framework with the use of a Bayesian Belief Networks. Due to lack of data, we validate the model by comparing its results with existing models, with which we found good agreement. We anticipate that the presented model can contribute to the cost-effective oil-combating fleet optimization for the Gulf of Finland. It can also facilitate the accident consequences estimation in the framework of formal safety assessment (FSA). en
dc.format.extent 61-71
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso en en
dc.relation.ispartofseries MARINE POLLUTION BULLETIN en
dc.relation.ispartofseries Volume 76, issue 1-2 en
dc.rights openAccess en
dc.title A probabilistic model estimating oil spill clean-up costs a case study for the Gulf of Finland. en
dc.type A1 Alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessä fi
dc.description.version Peer reviewed en
dc.contributor.department Department of Applied Mechanics en
dc.subject.keyword Bayesian Belief Networks;
dc.subject.keyword Clean-up costs;
dc.subject.keyword Maritime traffic;
dc.subject.keyword Oil spill;
dc.subject.keyword Risk analysis
dc.subject.keyword The Gulf of Finland;
dc.identifier.urn URN:NBN:fi:aalto-201705113927
dc.identifier.doi 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2013.09.031
dc.type.version publishedVersion


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