Title: | On the use of expert judgement in the qualification of risk assessment Asiantuntija-arviot riskianalyysin pätevöittämisessä |
Author(s): | Rosqvist, Tony |
Date: | 2003-12-11 |
Language: | en |
Pages: | 48, [82] |
Department: | Department of Engineering Physics and Mathematics Teknillisen fysiikan ja matematiikan osasto |
Major/Subject: | Riskianalyysi |
ISBN: | 951-38-6244-5 |
Series: | VTT publications, 507 |
ISSN: | 1455-0849 |
Supervising professor(s): | Hämäläinen, Raimo P.; Prof. |
Thesis advisor(s): | Pulkkinen, Urho; Prof. |
Subject: | Economics, Psychology |
Keywords: | risk assessment, quality of risk assessment, qualification of risk assessment, expert judgement, expert model, probabilistic safety assessment, formal safety assessment, risk modelling |
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Abstract:The increased use of risk assesment in governmental and corporate decision-making has increased the role of expert judgement in providing information for safety related decision-making. Expert judgements are required in most steps of risk assessment: hazard identification, risk estimation, risk evaluation and analysis of options. The use and elicitation of expert judgement is therefore subject to on-going research. Furthermore, expert judgement is also required in the quality assurance or quality verification of risk assessment.
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Description:Väitöskirjan tavoitteena on kehittää riskianalyysiä menetelmänä siten, että asiantuntija-arvioiden rooli täsmentyy ja laajenee sekä riskianalyysin laatu paranee. Väitöskirjan erityisenä kimmokkeena on ollut riskianalyysien lisääntynyt tarve merenkulun turvallisuuden kehittämisessä Suomen meriliikenteessä ja sen soveltamisessa havaitut menetelmälliset puutteet.
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Parts:Rosqvist, T., Tuominen, R. 2004. Qualification of Formal Safety Assessment - An Exploratory Study. Safety Science, 42(2), 99-120.Rosqvist, T., Nyman, T., Sonninen, S., Tuominen, R. 2002. The implementation of the VTMIS system for the gulf of Finland - a FSA study. Proceedings of the RINA International Conference on Formal Safety Assessment, 18-19 Sept 2002. London.Rosqvist, T. 2002. Stopping time optimisation in condition monitoring. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 76(3), 319-325.Rosqvist, T. 2000. Bayesian aggregation of experts' judgements on failure intensity. Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 70(3), 283-289.Rosqvist, T. 2004. Stakeholder compensation model based on decision analysis. Journal of Multi-criteria Decision Analysis - Special Issue: Towards electronic democracy (in press).Rosqvist, T., Koskela, M., Harju, H. 2003. Software quality evaluation based on expert judgement. Software Quality Journal, 11(1), 39-55. |
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